The war is entering a new phase. The Russians will focus on the east and the south. The Russians have finally one commander for the entire war. They might get their strict command structure to work, but getting one top commander will probably not work if the whole command structure is just too strict. The regrouping of forces from the north to the east will take a little time and these forces are not useable for awhile. These forces need to get new equipment, to get new personnel, and to rest.
Will we see a more symmetric war when the Russian forces try to launch new offensives to trap the Ukrainian forces east of the river Dnieper. The eastern part of Ukraine is suited for mechanized warfare. However, even if the MBT's, IFV,s, APC's, and howitzers can drive around more or less where ever they want, their supply trucks can't. We will also so see if the Russians manage to get their logistics to work.
We will see if the Ukrainians are able to do something about the Russian supply lines, fuel and ammo depots in Crimea, Donbas, and in Russia. I also think the Ukrainians need to get the tools to do something about the Russian air defense in the east and the south.
Maybe even provide the Ukrainians with underwater drones. We will probably not know the extend of the "new" lend lease.
