Hi doppleganger, just a few points on the theory that Stalin was going to attack West.
If memory serves me we debated that scenario briefly, and all I can do is stand by the arguments I made then that I don't think he would.
But perhaps I can add this for what it's worth.
Natually I agree that war between Germany and Russia was inevitable.
Because we know for a 'fact' what Hitler planned to do from 1923, and we know he put those plans into tragic reality.
The ''theory'' of Russia attacking probably started with the propaganda Goebbels spewed out. ''The Poles are killing Germans who live within the borders of Poland. The Czechs are doing the same thing in the Sudetenland, and the Bolsheviks must be stopped, we must save our kin, save Europe.
The old ''Tell them lies--and the bigger the lie, the more they'll believe it''
It was then further propergated by German writers, historians and Generals straight after the war to try and legitimise their attack, claiming Hitler had to invade Russia to save the whole of Europe from falling under the Bolshivik mantel, instead of it being Hitlers long planned genocidal rampage through Russia.
As Von Leeb said after the war ''we must get in first with our version of the war''
The Cold War perpeturated the myth that the Soviet Union had cunningly planned a strike against Germany in July 1941 and was planning to do so again, right up to the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Then more recently, others like V. Resun [Suvorov] jumped on the bandwagon and cashed in on the 'theory' that Russia was the aggressor rather than the victim in 1941.
And all this without any real evidence to back it up.
The way I read it, Hitler would take any risk to realize his manic obsession of a Nazi empire in the East, Stalins paranoia personality was the complete opposite, it was safety first [his] safety. His concern was consolidating his personal power and taking whatever scraps were handed to him or that he could pick up along the way.
Personally I think there was as much chance of the Soviets attacking Western Europe in the '40's as there was of them attacking during the cold war.
But who knows, I may be wrong and some solid evidence may turn up in the old Soviet archives, but I wouldn't hold my breath.
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In essence the rise of the Third Reich ensured that Europe did not turn completely communist red as it probably would have done so at some point.
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Heck Doppleganger, you're not suggesting that it was a good thing are you?
No, only kidding.
I'd hate to think Europe had to pay the horrific price it did at the hands of the Nazis, instead of some scenario that at some 'unkown' time in the future they ''may''become ''communist red.''
Dont know if you've seen any of the many History channel doco's, when after the collapse of ''the evil empire''many old Kremlin veterans were interviewed, some of them very high ranking officials and Generals, including ex KBG chiefs, and every one said that there was never any intent from Russia to ''over run Western Europe'' at any time, they say they were more concerned at not provoking Hitler, and after the war, were always apprehensive of a possible resurgent, rearmed Germany, and U.S. nuclear posture, [you could understand that one]
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Once we accept that a Soviet-German war was unavoidable we then have to examine how the Germans could have won such a war. A one season campaign was completely unrealistic as history confirmed. A two season campaign may have worked much better as I suggested in a previous post.
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Which is fair enough, it makes for some good debate, doesn't it?
Well, the two season campaign could hardly have ended any worse then the one season campaign could it?
I suppose it comes down to.... do you think that the Nazis could have broken the will of the Russians before the second front kicked in?
If not I guess we're back to square one.
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There's no real evidence to suggest that the war would have been over in 1940 had the 1938 purges not taken place.
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Perhaps I didn't explain that very well, what I meant by the war possibly being over by 1940 was what others have said on these threads, 'if' Stalin was planning to attack Germany, he had a perfect opportunity in '40 when the Germans had 90% of the Werhmacht locked in combat with France and Britain, and a total of 10 divisions facing the Red army's 150 plus divisions.
The Red army, as you say, was a mess at that time, but even so, with those odds, the Germans would hardly have been a speed bump for the Soviets, and there was nothing else but 3 divisions in Berlin to stop those Red divisions from easily taking the capital.
It would be interesting to work out how much of Germany would be overrun before the Germans could extricate divisions [or armies] from France to take them on, which of course would relieve the pressure on the French and British.
The war may possibly have been over then and there.
But unfortunately Stalin was too timid to budge an inch.
Probably hoped they would batter each other to death, and he could walk in and pick up the pieces, which was his way, thats just one of the many reasons I think that Stalin would never take on Germany, or any other major [or minor, after Finland for that matter] European power.