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It would take the transport fleet more than a day to go to the coasts, to unload men and supplies, to return and to load again men and supplies . |
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One thing to take into acount here was the poor state of the British Army after Dunkirk, while a large force of Canadians had arrived I doubt they would have faired any better than a BEF rifle division at that stage, almost all heavy equipment and transport had been lost in France (I think there were less than 50 medium and heavy tanks in the UK and most of the 22 infantry divisions were at less than half strength). I am not going to under estimate the role of the RAF but I am convinced that the only thing that stood between the Germans and London was the channel and the Royal Navy's control of it. A book on the topic worth reading is:Hitlers Armarda: The Royal Navy & the Defence of Great Britain April-October 1940 by Geoff Hewitt Where he concludes that the RN's forces in southern England alone were " a force many times larger than the ships that the Germans had available as naval escorts", my only criticism of his work is that he doesnt go into great depth the German laying of protective minefields. |
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Yes I agree the RN ad the English Channel were a major obstacle, but I firmly believe the RAF in the BoB was the first victory over the Germans, who up to that point had it all their own way, thereby putting Hitler on notice that Britain was not going to roll over and give in, therefore any attempt to invade would be futile. On top of that it proved Joe Kennedy was very wrong about the tenacity and the survivability of the British and its commonwealth. |
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My belief is that the BoB was a battle the Germans had no chance to win without ground forces landing in Britain as they were always going to be fighting over hostile territory at the extent of their range, they could not recover downed pilots or machines, even had they driven the RAF from the skies they still would be losing machines and crews without being able to do enough damage to subdue the enemy as they didn't have aircraft to do the job. The best case scenario for the Germans in the air was a stalemate and they could have achieved that without flying over the channel at all and kept their air force intact in the process. |
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Churchill said that in the second half of September 1940,Britain had 13 ID and 3 armoured divisions . On June 10 Britain had 292 Light Tanks and 74 Infantry Tanks . On July 1 :265 LT, 118 Cruisers and 119 IT. On August 4 : 336 LT, 173 Cruisers and 189 IT . On August 27 :295 LT, 138 Cruisers and 185 IT . On September 15 ( most probable Sea Lion start day ) :306 LT, 154 Cruisers and 224 IT . Germany could never land even a hundred tanks . Even with less tanks,the Home Forces would have crushed the Germans . |
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One of the problems with them is that I don't believe they take into account armour being sent to other parts of the empire specifically Egypt They don't take into account the combat effectiveness of the light tanks being listed especially given that those tanks were extremely lightly armoured and equipped with machine guns only on top of this every German rifle regiment came with 27 x AT rifles and 12 x 37-50mm which were more than capable of dealing with a 1940 light tank. Lastly it does not take into account this is the scenario that the Luftwaffe did excel at, it was a force designed to support a fast moving army. I am confident that had the wehrmacht been able to land in significant numbers and be supplied adequately they could have defeated Britain and it is only that even the Germans knew it was the resupply part that made an invasion impossible. |
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One scenario not taken into account is the battle for Crete, the Germans landed and supported a much smaller force than the defenders at the maximum range of the Luftwaffe in the face of a stronger British Naval presence. |
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