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According to a report from the Institute for Energy Research, the United States has 1.4 trillion barrels of recoverable reserves of oil — or more than the entire world has used in 150 years. That’s enough to fuel the United States for the next 250 years. Natural gas and coal resources are in even greater abundance. Energy independence could really and truly be as easy as 1-2-3.
If the Straits are closed for more than a few weeks, worldwide reecession is guaranteed. If Iran did try to blockade the strait, it would be no match for a U.S. fleet accompanied by the Combined Maritime Force protecting Gulf shipping that also includes countries such as Britain, France, Canada, Australia and the Gulf Arab states, under the command of a U.S. admiral. Iran has been investing for decades now on creating a naval guerrilla force which would have the capability of at least interfering with shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and perhaps closing it, at least temporarily, using a combination of mines, small boats, antiship cruise missiles, submarines, both midget submarines as well as conventional submarines, and most recently ballistic missiles. But once the United States Navy gets involved in ensuring freedom of navigation, I think it's very clear what the outcome will be, eventually, the destruction of the Iranian Navy and the reopening of the strait. |
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_res..._United_States http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves World oil reserves by region: Middle East: 56% North America: 16% (most of them are in Canada) Africa: 9% Central and South America: 8% Eurasia: 7% Asia and Oceana: 3% Europe: 1% As you see the US and her allies have just 20% of world oil reserves (North America+ Asia and Oceana+ Europe) while they consume most fraction of the world energy. And it is the main reason they have brought their soldiers to ME, occupied Iraq and have made military bases in some ME countries. Quote:
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The US Forces main problem is in convincing their Congress to allow them to do it with a free hand. |
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If the US lands no troops on the ground and prosecute their war from afar destroying all vital infrastructure they effectively could turn Iran into a punching bag, with little ability to even endanger US forces. However I feel that something like you suggest might make their Congress re-assess their thinking, and what is even scarier, is the fact that at the moment, the US is technically bankrupt,... but there is nothing in the world that will stir up an economy, like a nice big war. The Iranians may do it,... but I think they would find that it would be a very bad move for them in the end. Virtually all of what you have said is true, but the crunch is, there are no "winners" in a war both sides lose in the end. It's just that I feel that in this case the Iranian people would lose far more than anyone else. There would be no 100s of thousands of dead in the USA, their country would not suffer the devastation and disruption of war. Just think about it,....... The US may never "win", but Iran would certainly lose. It would be a stupid move. |
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