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Taiwan cannot survive a prolonged war with China, but Taiwan can make China pay for it. I don't know if Taiwan can trust the US and the Taiwan Relation Act. The US president cannot decide about intervening in an armed conflict between China and Taiwan without the consent by the Congress.
China is probably using hybrid warfare against Taiwan years before any conventional operations against Taiwan. The hybrid warfare is an efficient method to soften the Taiwanese before an attack. It can even achieve what the Chinese want without using its military might. The Chinese are increasing its naval and amphibious capabilities, but I doubt it's enough to successfully conquer Taiwan, not now anyway. Maybe in 10-20 years from now. The Chinese air force and the aircraft carriers will have a huge task to suppress Taiwan's air defenses prior any invasion. The major threat toward Taiwan's air defense is to overwhelming it with clouds of missiles. The political price for attacking Taiwan will be big. It is not worth it politically nor economically for the Chinese to attack Taiwan. China has been quite successful with isolating Taiwan politically. If the US/NATO/EU, and even Russia suddenly recognized Taiwan as an independent national state, it would be an independent state. The Chinese government would whine about it, but they couldn't ignore these countries. |
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Taiwan to increase defence spending 13%. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...615f178e4e2961
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Why should EU recognize Taiwan as an independent state ? What happens at the coast of China is not the business of the EU . Russia of course will not recognize Taiwan and make China a hostile country . Thus remains the US . Only the US . |
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