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If I care about females emotions, of course I do. I'm always listening to what women tells me.....can you repeat that? I was thinking about a cold beer. |
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I think it will be very difficult for a conventional force to shift gears into a guerrilla or counter - guerrilla role. Even the German Army of WWII. one of the best trained, led and disciplined armies of all time couldn't do it. Their counter- guerrilla operations just made more guerrillas. The U.S. has similar experience on it's on-going World Tour of Shitholes.
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I'd say the Army has been on board with flushing this out for a while now. There are now 4 areas of operational art that are focused on in our doctrine 1. Attack 2. Defense 3. Counter Insurgency 4. Stability Operations. The new Army operating concept also acknowledges that the future is absolutely uncertain and the Army and its' leaders must be fully adaptive to whatever challenges lay ahead. A normal deployment train up now consists of training in full spectrum operations from low intensity to high intensity combat and the Training Centers at NTC, JRTC, and Graf have been running 30 or more day simulated combat environments with varying degrees of intensity ranging up and down the LIC/HIC spectrum for at least ten years now... |
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Now that Russian forces are in Syria, we will see how they handle 'hybrid" warfare. At first, it appears that they are limiting their activities to air strikes. However, there are unconfirmed reports that they have or will have 150,000 troops on the ground. That's far more troops than are required for an air support campaign.
I'm interested in seeing if they will attack the various opposition websites, their communications, command and control sites. They also need to knock out the sources of funding of those groups. Since some are funded by the U.S., that's going to be tough. The Russians will be the crash-test dummies to try out this new generation of combat. |
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Insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan are not losing their steam and the regions are so far from being stabilised that the chaos has spread throughout the region. Also perhaps a mod could split this thread and move things to a more appropriate forum? |
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Well, MontyB I think that what you are talking about is more in the area of strategy than tactics. Admittedly, the U.S. hasn't been noticeably successful in either Afghanistan or Iraq, but that has been in the absence of anything that could even be remotely described as a strategy. Tactics would deal more with how forces kill the enemy while minimizing their own losses.
In terms of strategy, at this date, i doubt that many Americans even know who we are fighting or why! That includes the people in the White House. Now that the Russians are back, after having been off-line for several years, we can go back to the good old days of hating them. That worked out pretty well for decades. We glared and snarled at each other without having a major war. They make a much better enemy that a billion Muslims. The Russian may have better luck in the Middle East than the U.S. They have a brute force approach that is hard to beat, although it didn't work out for them in Afghanistan, probably because they didn't kill enough Afghanis or they didn't kill the right ones. |
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Politicians want concrete answers on short timelines...something that simply isn't going to happen in these types of fights. I think our military has taken an important step in finally recognizing the reality that we will likely be fighting in small, ugly, etherial wars in the future and we are trying to prepare accordingly...IMHO I don't think we have gone far enough to change our doctrine and how we think...but at least we are trying to move in that direction...unfortunately, at least in the US Army, there seems to be an ongoing purge of experienced combat vets that know how to do this type of fight...so how seriously is the Army taking this new doctrine if they're doing this purge?...hard to say. What I can say is that when I left Iraq in 2011 it was on its way to stability. Almost every Iraqi I worked with wanted us to stay because we were the stabilizing force in that country. We didn't want to leave at the time either. The Syrian civil war was begining and I specifically remember talking to other vets on how it was all going to go downhill as long as Syria was essentially a vacuum looking to be filled. If I could see that as a 28 year old 1st Lieutenant at the time...how the hell did the elites miss it? I digress though... |
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I am not sure I would be confortable letting the military loose to get a job done as it would just be a giant bloodbath, as much as I do not like politicians I do believe that in a democratic/free (whatever term you want to use) society the military must be controlled by the people. If anything I have a tendancy to believe that both the military and politicians have failed to take into account the digital world we live in. Quote:
In December 2002 I spent the day with the New Zealand contingent of UN weapons inspectors who had just returned from Iraq and they all said the same things, there is nothing there and in 10 years we will be back cleaning the mess Bush is determined to make. I really do not know what the answer is anymore and I will be honest and say that I do believe that the current surge in instability is the direct result of US actions over the last 14 years and I believe that the only answer to this is either for China to become a beligerant super power or Russia to resume that role to keep you guys in check. |
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Honestly, as for China and Russia, I'm inclined to let them. Seems we are damned either way, may as well be their blood and booty that is wasted. Although I agree we haven't helped the middle east, I'm of the belief that the bloodbath was a long time coming. Islam needs an age of reason before they can really move forward into the modern world much like Christianity did. That is always going to be a bloody transition. We can't fix that for them, they need to wrestle through it themselves and we need to try to contain any collateral that will happen as a result. I've noticed Americans are tired of trying to keep things stable. World police is something we have never really embraced. It was a reluctant role that was assumed because the alternatives were bad, badder, and baddest. I think my generation is seeing the writing on the wall and we are very much willing to hand over the torch because it simply isn't worth it anymore to do this. Again, if we do nothing we are bastards, if we do something, we are bastards with money and lives spent. So what is the point? I say let the Chinese, Russians, and Europe figure it out...or at least try to...I'm positive after they all spend hundreds of billions and thousands of lives they will reach similar conclusions I have...this is a Muslim problem that needs to be fixed by Muslims. |
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