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If the Germans defeated the RAF, they might have been able to use the Luftwaffe to keep the RN away from southern England and the waters around it. The Japanese were successful with using their air power (Prince of Wales, Repulse). The Americans were even better with using their air power against the Japanese navy.
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Given that the Luftwaffe couldnt stop the RN evacuating troops from Dunkirk, Norway, Greece or Crete what do you think the chances are that they could stop the RN from breaking into the invasion lanes and dealing to the few remaining German destroyers protecting a rather cobbled together fleet of barges delivering troops and supplies? The Luftwaffe did not have the aircraft or ordinance to take on the RN anymore than the Kriegsmarine did and we still come back to the argument that without the Luftwaffe operating from forward bases in England they could not have subdued the RAF which means they would never have had absolute control over the channel. |
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The RAF was designed as a stand alone branch of the armed forces, it was equipped to carry out missions independent of other branches of the military and also in conjunction with those other branches, it was a strategic force. The Luftwaffe was never designed with independent operation in mind it was always a support branch of the army which is why it performed so poorly over Britain and in relief operations in Russia, it was as is well documented short range tactical air force not a strategic one. So for the Luftwaffe to win the BoB it needed to operate from bases in England, for it to have bases in England the wehrmacht would have to be on the ground in England and for that to happen the Kriegsmarine have to have put them there and that couldn't happen because the RN still controlled seas around Britain. |
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It's hypothetical, but if the Luftwaffe was able to establish air supremacy over the English Channel and parts of southern England, they may have been able to invade England. The English Channel doesn't provide with a lot of space for the RN to maneuver. The Germans might have experienced problems with getting the supplies and mechanized forces across the Channel. It also depends on how the Kriegsmarine had deployed its U-boats. Would they continue to try to reduce the convoys or would they support the amphibian assault and contribute to the effort to keep the RN out of the English Channel and south of England.
I don't think it had been enough for the Luftwaffe to defeat the RAF fighters, it needed to take out the RAF Bomber Command and the Costal Command as well. |
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As a quick comparison: British and French ships (home fleet) 1940 ~200 (does not include fleets outside British and North Atlantic waters) German ships and submarines (total) ~90 ( this includes pocket battleships at sea in the Atlantic) |
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