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Had they not invaded Russia they would have had the manpower to capture Egypt, the Suez Canal, and probably, with help from the Italian Navy, the Persian Gulf oil fields. While it would have been a huge risk ignoring the US, w/o Pearl Harbor the US might have stayed out indefinitely. Is opinion of some that if Roosevelt wanted a War with Japan the film shot onboard during the Panay Incident could have done it if released. But then again the US seemed to be backing Japan into a corner with the oil sanctions.
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Asia and Africa were going to be a never ending campaign for the Germans that they simply did not have the manpower, material or logistics to conquer, as it was moving away from its support meanwhile Britain was falling back on major supply bases of South Africa, India, Australia and NZ. This is why I wondered whether Japan not attacking the US but rather isolating it in the Pacific and instead eliminating British possessions in the Pacific until the US could have been dealt with by a combined axis force. |
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Given that both India and South Africa had large anti-British factions it is possible that both countries would have dropped out of the war entirely |
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Japan did make a play for India. So, if they took India and Germans took the Suez Canal, Arabian Peninsula & the middle east oil fields they also would have direct contact for exchange of technology & raw materials.The Japanese did send subs into the Indian Ocean to disrupt British supplys to the Western Desert at German request. That was later than Operation C.
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It was also unimportant for Japan as the ME was too far away from Japan . The same for Germany . The Suez Canal was not used from May 1940 to May 1943 for transports to and from Britain .Thus the capture of the Suez Canal would not hurt Britain and not aid Germany . |
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Suez Canal-Tehran : 1800 km Germany would need a big army to go from Tripoli to the Canal and from the Canal to Tehran ,and they would need a lot of oil . US oil production in 1937 :173 million tons Iraq in 1938 :4,3 million Iran in 1938 :10,3 million |
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They came close to getting Egypt with what they had. Obviously the 1st thing Italy should have done was capture Malta, failure to do so was a catastrophic strategic failure that resulted in severe losses to her merchant fleet. Keep in mind we had Japan capturing India, so ME not far at all & the canal provides direct contact between the Axis.
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And for Japan : if it had captured India ( impossible ) ,where would its navy obtain the fuel to sail from Calcutta to the Canal ,a canal that would have been blocked by Britain ( it happened in 1967 and in 1973 )? |
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