Report Warns of Chinese Military Machine

December 23rd, 2005  

Topic: Report Warns of Chinese Military Machine

Once again I stand here with evidence in hand. The People's Republic of China is planning for something fierce to happen very soon.

Report Warns of Chinese Military Machine

Charles R. Smith
Monday, Dec. 19, 2005

China Will Fight for 'Living' Space

According to a recently released report from a top-level Washington think tank, China plans to win a war over Taiwan within a week.

"PLA authorities have pledged that they can capture Taiwan within seven days," states the report.

The report, "China's Great Leap Forward," published by the Hudson Institute, outlines a chilling view of China's evolving "military juggernaut."

There are many in Washington who believe that the Chinese leadership will not engage in active combat for fear of losing trade dollars and ruin the scheduled Olympic games in Beijing.

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In contrast, the report is filled with quotes from top-level Chinese officials that have not been published in the U.S. mass media. For example, Chinese President Hu Jintao, often viewed in the Western press as a moderate in PRC politics, is clearly cited as confident that waging war in the Pacific will not affect China's global trade.

According to General Secretary Hu Jintao, "We believe that the war will not obstruct the holding of the 2008 Olympic Games."

The Hudson report outlines a terrifying scenario of a Chinese invasion force landing "between 200,000 and 400,000 troops" on Taiwan. The Chinese air force (PLAAF) will then use "mammoth forces" to overwhelm Taiwan's small air forces. The PLAAF will mobilize 3,000 aircraft to "annihilate" Taiwan's air defenses.

"We must capture Taiwan, even if that means we have to sacrifice the lives of tens of thousands of soldiers!" notes the report, quoting an unnamed Chinese general.


Reunification of the Motherland

Beijing is solidly on the path of forcing Taiwan to "return to the Motherland" even if it means war with the United States. The Hudson Institute report concludes that the Chinese military is not afraid to fight America.

"Beijing is also prepared to fight the United States if such a confrontation proves unavoidable. The PLA [People's Liberation Army] will mobilize its destroyers equipped with SSN-22 anti-ship cruise missiles, Kilo-class submarines, and Chinese Aegis warships to clash with the Seventh Fleet, and will use information warfare to destroy U.S. satellites and command-and-control systems," states the Hudson report.

The conclusions of the Hudson report mirror statements issued by the Chinese army that trade and economic growth are secondary issues. According to an official report by the CMC (Central Military Command), China is confident that it must overwhelm Taiwan and deal with American military forces within the next few years.

"Taking into account of possible intervention by the U.S. and based on the development strategy of our country, it is better to fight now than future the earlier, the better. The reason being that, if worst comes to worst, we will gain control of Taiwan before full deployment of the U.S. troops. In this case, the only thing the U.S. can do is fighting a war with the purpose of retaliation, which will be similar to the Gulf War against Iraq or the recent bombing of Yugoslavia," notes the Chinese army report.

The Chinese army also makes it clear that it has fought U.S. forces before and prevailed. According to the PLA report, the "strategic superiority" of the U.S. military forces has not been tested in a war against a large country.

"In contrast, using the Vietnamese War as an example, our forces do have the experience of fighting the U.S. forces under modern warfare conditions. In that war, the Chinese forces were mainly responsible for air defense and accumulated a whole set of experience in this regard," notes the Chinese army report.

The Chinese leadership is also confident about fighting a nuclear war with America. The Chinese military makes it clear that it is willing to go to nuclear war with America.

"In comparison with the U.S. nuclear arsenal, our disadvantage is mainly numeric, while in real wars the qualitative gap will be reflected only as different requirements of strategic theory. In terms of deterrence, there is not any difference in practical value. So far we have built up the capability for the second and the third nuclear strikes and are fairly confident in fighting a nuclear war. The PCC has decided to pass through formal channels this message to the top leaders of the U.S."

War With Russia

The Hudson report also notes that Washington and Taipei are not alone in worrying about the emergence of Chinese global military power. Recent events inside Moscow show growing concern inside the Kremlin about the monster on Russia's eastern border. Russian military experts now warn, "Thanks to Russia, Chinese military might is growing even faster than its economic might."

"According to General-Major V. Slipchenko, the ultimate goal of Chinese military reform consists in the creation of a military establishment that guarantees 'living space' within 'strategic borders.'

These 'strategic borders' must shift according to the expansion of China's Integrated State Power, the primary components of which are economic and military might," warns the Hudson report.

"Nor should it be forgotten that China's geopolitics as formulated by Mao gave priority to expanding the country's borders, especially by annexing Russian territories," states the report.

"According to Russian military scientists, the process of settling Chinese people in the Far East is proceeding almost unchecked. Even now it is acquiring a massive character which creates the preconditions for a conflict situation and the use of force."

"In January 2005, General-Lieutenant V.I. Ostankov, director of the General Staffs Military-Strategic Studies Center, warned that the strengthening of China's economic might and its growing population require tremendous resources. Because the repository of the world's natural resources has already been divided up, it seems logical that the vector of Chinese expansion will be directed toward the abutting regions of Russia (above all, Siberia and the Far East) as well as of Kazakhstan and other countries of Central Asia."

"Some Russian analysts have gone so far as to charge that Russian nuclear weapons are in fact a 'non-deterrent' against China. The Chinese leadership is said to be willing to sacrifice 'hordes' of its citizens in pursuit of its geostrategic objectives," concludes the Hudson report.

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December 23rd, 2005  
very interesting. prehaps the Russians will rethink selling equipment to China.
December 23rd, 2005  
I will let you know when it becomes necessary to begin using a proxy server to access this site.

Nothing in this report is surprising to me at all. It fits. And it more clearly explains this...
Russian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov said on Wednesday that 70 percent of next year’s state defense order would be spent on the procurement of new armaments and military hardware, the Interfax news agency reported.

“The state defense order will amount to 237 billion rubles ($8.27 billion) next year, which is nearly 54 billion rubles ($1.88 billion) more than this year. This will allow the spending of 70 percent of the funds on the procurement of new armaments and military hardware or comprehensive upgrades of the hardware currently available in military units,” Ivanov told reporters in Moscow.

He stressed that “next year we are planning to procure as much hardware as is needed to rearm a whole military unit — a battalion, a squadron or a regiment”.
December 23rd, 2005  
I knew it! In my thread "china plans to invade US" it was for the same reason, living space.
December 23rd, 2005  
Indeed, the thread was locked but I would have posted that in my effort to disprove that post I came upon a mountain of information supporting it. Even further when I asked some people here, although not privy to this knowledge they did confirm rather than deny that this was not only possible but probable. Shocking at first but as they unravelled the "logic" behind the train of thought that gives this Chinese idea its impetus it made absolute sense and more than a few lightbulbs clicked on.
December 23rd, 2005  
Do they truly grasp the amount of firepower the 7th fleet has?
December 23rd, 2005  
The logic they are applying is the same principle they applied during the Korean War and the same as Grant used in the American Civil War. Numbers, shear numbers. They are planning to overwhelm by volume. Its playing to their strength. Taiwan might have them outclassed and outgunned technologically thanks to US arms sales but they don't have the numbers. What good is it if you have the most advanced anti-air missile defense when you run out of SAMs? What good is the power of the 7th fleet when they run out of ammo and the enemy just keeps coming?? It is a simple matter of mathematics and I think they're right in their figures.
December 23rd, 2005  
The PRC is beocming a threat to world security. They have three things that scare the piss out of me.

1) Nukes
2) Balls
3) Numbers

I'm telling you, praise the Lord and pass the ammunition. get ready folks. Cause the devil is coming. And he has a "made in china" sticker on him.
December 23rd, 2005  
The Communist Party of China has been preaching and innundating the people of mainland China constantly with all the ways in which "Taiwan stole from us." "Taiwan cheated us." "They all deserve to die." "Taiwan has not right to decide anything for itself because it belongs to China." Its much like their constant preaching about the evils of Japan, its some thing that leads the public to take up the cause of its own volition. The people of China cannot fathom the concept of Taiwan being an independent country, and they're all for nuking it into oblivion if Taiwan declares independence.
December 24th, 2005  
Very true.