A future war on the Korean peninsula will be a different war. Not comparable with Iraq or Afghanistan. There's no religion involved. No clerics to mobilize people to attack the invaders. When the US invaded Iraq they were very welcomed until Sadam was gone. Job finished and now get out or we will attack you. The realtionship between NK and SK people is more like East and West Germany during the cold war. They used to live in the same nation.
What is China going to do? They hate that regime just like anyone else but they do not want a democratic Korea on their border.
A preemptive strike on NK will certainly draw condemnations from China and Russia and lose their support from in the beginning
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NK military is no match for SK supported by US troops. NK will not be able to invade SK and I don't think they will. Without air superiority it is pure suicide. We are talking here about a big army and not a guerrilla one.
On the other hand SK and US troops will have a lot of casualties if they invade NK. The NK military is dug in all over the place with lots of known and unknown tunnels. They will not stop the invasion force but will make life very miserable for them.
So I think there will be no war, unless an accident gets out of control or a serious miscalculation occurs.
The number one priority for the big powers at the moment is to keep the global economic recovery on its tracks.
What is China going to do? They hate that regime just like anyone else but they do not want a democratic Korea on their border.
A preemptive strike on NK will certainly draw condemnations from China and Russia and lose their support from in the beginning
.
NK military is no match for SK supported by US troops. NK will not be able to invade SK and I don't think they will. Without air superiority it is pure suicide. We are talking here about a big army and not a guerrilla one.
On the other hand SK and US troops will have a lot of casualties if they invade NK. The NK military is dug in all over the place with lots of known and unknown tunnels. They will not stop the invasion force but will make life very miserable for them.
So I think there will be no war, unless an accident gets out of control or a serious miscalculation occurs.
The number one priority for the big powers at the moment is to keep the global economic recovery on its tracks.