Team Infidel
Forum Spin Doctor
Baltimore Sun
March 6, 2007
By Associated Press
TEHRAN, Iran--Iran's announcement that it launched a research rocket has called new attention to a space program that Tehran says is peaceful but that some fear aims to produce long-range ballistic missiles that could reach Europe or the U.S.
Exactly what Iran launched, or even what it aimed to do, remains the subject of debate, speculation and possible misinterpretation. But there are parallels to the controversy over its nuclear program.
Some experts say that in both cases, what Iran says is a peaceful program could mask or be turned into a weapons program. And in both cases, Iran's actual capabilities and the speed at which they are improving remain largely unknown.
"Initially, it seemed like a cover story for an unsuccessful satellite attempt," said John Pike of GlobalSecurity.org, referring to Iran's announcement Feb. 25 that it had sent a suborbital research rocket soaring to the edge of space.
Conflicting statements by Iranian officials about how high the rocket traveled reinforced that idea. The United States has not commented officially.
State Department spokesman Sean McCormack would not discuss details of U.S. intelligence on the launch, but he said the United States remained troubled by Iran's activities.
"We do have outstanding concerns about Iran's missile program, and we are very much concerned about the possible nexus between that program and their nuclear ambitions," he told reporters.
A satellite launch had been expected since the magazine Aviation Week reported comments by a top Iranian lawmaker, Alaeddin Boroujerdi, in January that Iran had assembled a space launch vehicle that would lift off soon. An SLV is any type of rocket used to launch a spacecraft or satellite into orbit.
Experts say there is little difference between the technology needed to construct an SLV and that needed to produce intercontinental ballistic missiles that can carry warheads.
Given such similarities, some in Israel have expressed grave concerns. Former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said after Iran's suborbital rocket announcement: "Once they have that capability, whether for satellites or anything else, once you can boost your way up there, then you're en route to ICBMs, and that's where they're headed."
Others say Iran is far from such a goal.
Iran is known to possess a medium-range ballistic missile known as the Shahab-3 with a range of at least 800 miles, capable of striking Israel. In 2005, Iranian officials said they had improved the range of the Shahab-3 to 1,200 miles.
Experts also believe Iran is developing the Shahab-4 missile, thought to have a range of 1,200 to 1,900 miles, which would enable it to hit much of Europe.
Analysts believe both missiles are based on North Korean prototypes and suspect Iran has received ballistic missile assistance from Russia and China, too.
Iran initially acknowledged in 1999 it was developing the Shahab-4 but said it would be used only as a space launch vehicle for commercial satellites.
In 2003, Tehran declared it had ended the Shahab-4 program. But Western intelligence agencies doubt this. "We know there is a missile that seems to be significantly bigger than the Shahab-3," said John Sheldon of the School of Advanced Air and Space Studies at Maxwell Air Force Base in Montgomery, Ala.
At the same time, Iran has made no secret of major ambitions for its space program. In 2005, the government said it had allocated $500 million for space projects in the next five years. Also in 2005, Iran launched its first commercial satellite, Sina-1, into orbit from a Russian rocket.
On Feb. 24, Defense Minister Mostafa Najar confirmed that Iran is constructing its own satellites and the rockets to launch them.
Iran says it wants to put its own satellites into orbit to monitor natural disasters in the earthquake-prone nation and to improve its telecommunications.
March 6, 2007
By Associated Press
TEHRAN, Iran--Iran's announcement that it launched a research rocket has called new attention to a space program that Tehran says is peaceful but that some fear aims to produce long-range ballistic missiles that could reach Europe or the U.S.
Exactly what Iran launched, or even what it aimed to do, remains the subject of debate, speculation and possible misinterpretation. But there are parallels to the controversy over its nuclear program.
Some experts say that in both cases, what Iran says is a peaceful program could mask or be turned into a weapons program. And in both cases, Iran's actual capabilities and the speed at which they are improving remain largely unknown.
"Initially, it seemed like a cover story for an unsuccessful satellite attempt," said John Pike of GlobalSecurity.org, referring to Iran's announcement Feb. 25 that it had sent a suborbital research rocket soaring to the edge of space.
Conflicting statements by Iranian officials about how high the rocket traveled reinforced that idea. The United States has not commented officially.
State Department spokesman Sean McCormack would not discuss details of U.S. intelligence on the launch, but he said the United States remained troubled by Iran's activities.
"We do have outstanding concerns about Iran's missile program, and we are very much concerned about the possible nexus between that program and their nuclear ambitions," he told reporters.
A satellite launch had been expected since the magazine Aviation Week reported comments by a top Iranian lawmaker, Alaeddin Boroujerdi, in January that Iran had assembled a space launch vehicle that would lift off soon. An SLV is any type of rocket used to launch a spacecraft or satellite into orbit.
Experts say there is little difference between the technology needed to construct an SLV and that needed to produce intercontinental ballistic missiles that can carry warheads.
Given such similarities, some in Israel have expressed grave concerns. Former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said after Iran's suborbital rocket announcement: "Once they have that capability, whether for satellites or anything else, once you can boost your way up there, then you're en route to ICBMs, and that's where they're headed."
Others say Iran is far from such a goal.
Iran is known to possess a medium-range ballistic missile known as the Shahab-3 with a range of at least 800 miles, capable of striking Israel. In 2005, Iranian officials said they had improved the range of the Shahab-3 to 1,200 miles.
Experts also believe Iran is developing the Shahab-4 missile, thought to have a range of 1,200 to 1,900 miles, which would enable it to hit much of Europe.
Analysts believe both missiles are based on North Korean prototypes and suspect Iran has received ballistic missile assistance from Russia and China, too.
Iran initially acknowledged in 1999 it was developing the Shahab-4 but said it would be used only as a space launch vehicle for commercial satellites.
In 2003, Tehran declared it had ended the Shahab-4 program. But Western intelligence agencies doubt this. "We know there is a missile that seems to be significantly bigger than the Shahab-3," said John Sheldon of the School of Advanced Air and Space Studies at Maxwell Air Force Base in Montgomery, Ala.
At the same time, Iran has made no secret of major ambitions for its space program. In 2005, the government said it had allocated $500 million for space projects in the next five years. Also in 2005, Iran launched its first commercial satellite, Sina-1, into orbit from a Russian rocket.
On Feb. 24, Defense Minister Mostafa Najar confirmed that Iran is constructing its own satellites and the rockets to launch them.
Iran says it wants to put its own satellites into orbit to monitor natural disasters in the earthquake-prone nation and to improve its telecommunications.