Can S.Korea handle N.Korea alone? - Page 13




 
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Boots
 
October 4th, 2004  
A Can of Man
 
 
Flying Frog, for the past 10 years or more, every single day has been disaster season for North Korea. Especially with the floods that hit... at least one big one in the late 90's. Can't coin the year but I was there for it. It affected China I remember hearing about 2000 people in China died from it, and 200 people in South Korea died from it. North Korean numbers unknown.
Anyways that REALLY messed them up.
Also, South Korea has no will to INVADE. However if they are invaded, things will change dramatically. The will to fight though is always there. It always has been. If you just talk to your regular run of the line university student, their view will be drastically different than from most people who have come out of the military or are around 30ish.
North Koreans, though their special operations will be fanatically fighting to the death, the rest of their army might just be too happy to be seeing food.

North Korea's ability to capture Seoul is a big if, but yes for the sake of argument, it IS possible. Just it'll take some time, a stack load of casualties and God knows if what's left of the NK Army at that point can handle a South Korean counter attack.

North Korea's Nukes.... there are many kinds of nukes. Somehow I doubt their ability to create something massive... probably more like a few tactical nukes. Now these will be a ***** to handle, but it's still not going to wipe out an entire army and there will be close to a million reserves still coming along the way. You can forget about arguing about South Korea's "weak will" once this happens and you can expect massive intervention and the whole world will come crashing down on North Korea.
January 30th, 2005  
A Can of Man
 
 
*bump* for those on "World Police" thread.
January 31st, 2005  
Sexybeast
 
south korea should be able to take care of most parts of north korea's troops...south has the superior quality of weapons in nearly every area...and also well-trained...

but north has nukes....and it may be their last dice to throw if south beat them badly
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Boots
January 31st, 2005  
MadeInChina
 
well, unless the north have good commanders and field strategists, then they could outsmart the south and win not by logistics or weaponery, but stratgy

its possible...
January 31st, 2005  
A Can of Man
 
 
Of course, the South Korean officers, who on average better educated and are purely voluntary (as in being an officer won't make you ahead of the rice rationing pecking order) would just sit around and do nothing right?
Basically if you ask anyone who's knowledgable in this field, they'll tell you, the time where North Korea could go to war against South Korea and actually have a decent shot at winning passed a long time ago. This opinion is not just mine, it's the only answer I've heard from experts of this field.
For some reason only the Communist faithful (from all over the world) seem to put any faith in North Korea winning.
February 1st, 2005  
gingerbeard
 
south korea is capable to defend against north korea, i am not saying 100% certain since not everything is 100% certain, but the chances are very high.
south korean army is full of officers, their male population have basic military training and are well educated (i heard 90% of them have uni degrees, correct me if i am wrong), nearly all of them are capable of being an officer, when war breaks out, the army could expand rapidly and with well educated officers leading them using american weapons. it is not likely to lose. the south korean can take over the skies at the very early stage of the war. and the north korean navy would be destroyed by the south since there isnt anything decent the north koreans have in the navy. the south could then bombard their infratructure near the coasts.

south korea is an advance country and have a decent infrastructure, in war time the south korean could produce decent weapons thant he north koreans could not. as the south control the skies to bomb the north's infrastructure, there is nothing the north koreans could use except nukes.

the only possible outcome of winning by NK is using nukes, to force the south to withdraw or stalmate.
February 1st, 2005  
Sexybeast
 
if there is really a war, i think south will suffer more in actual losses (including economy)

look at north korea, the whole nation's GDP is like 15 billion U.S someting, that is no more than a big sout korean coperation....how much r north korean gonna lose during a war....

however, in south, a war will cost much much more
February 1st, 2005  
Chocobo_Blitzer
 
We should hope North Korea never goes to war, should it occur, it's defeat on the field is assured, and thus it will self-destruct. It will take much of asia and all of western civilization with it.
February 1st, 2005  
kotakk
 
 
If it was a virtual war soth korea would win believe me
February 1st, 2005  
A Can of Man
 
 
Truth is, war in Korea is bad for South Korea no matter what the outcome. First of all, even though I'm pretty sure (but again of course, surprises DO happen) that South Korea will defeat the North Koreans. However, it will be at great cost.
This will not be a low casualty conflict. If the enemy uses Nukes, it is true, this can end as a stalemate if it is enough to destroy South Korea's counter attacking capability. I say counter attacking because the scenario of South Korea rushing up to take North Korea first is so remote, it hardly needs to be considered.
However, the North will gamble big time on this. If their strike fails, or if it doesn't result in theire desired outcome, the North Koreans can expect a speedy trial to the firing squad when the conflict is done with to South Korea's favor. Remember that having a nuke is one thing, being able to use it is another. If the scud or jet carrying it goes down, that's it.

Even in victory it will be really poor for South Korea. Because of pressure from within, unification will almost certainly take place. South Korea's going to have to rebuild its own country AND North Korea. Rebuilding North Korea is a gargantuine task and this will set back the South Korean economy by God knows how much.