655,000 Iraqis Die Because of War

655,000 Iraqis Die Because of War
October 11th, 2006  
Team Infidel

Topic: 655,000 Iraqis Die Because of War

655,000 Iraqis Die Because of War
Media: The Associated Press
Date: 11 October 2006

NEW YORK - A controversial new study contends nearly 655,000 Iraqis have
died because of the war, suggesting a far higher death toll than other

The timing of the survey's release, just a few weeks before the U.S.
congressional elections, led one expert to call it "politics."

In the new study, researchers attempt to calculate how many more Iraqis have
died since March 2003 than one would expect without the war. Their
conclusion, based on interviews of households and not a body count, is that
about 600,000 died from violence, mostly gunfire. They also found a small
increase in deaths from other causes like heart disease and cancer.

"Deaths are occurring in Iraq now at a rate more than three times that from
before the invasion of March 2003," Dr. Gilbert Burnham, lead author of the
study, said in a statement.

The study by Burnham, of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public
Health, and others is to be published Thursday on the Web site of The
Lancet, a medical journal.

An accurate count of Iraqi deaths has been difficult to obtain, but one
respected group puts its rough estimate at closer to 50,000. And at least
one expert was skeptical of the new findings.

"They're almost certainly way too high," said Anthony Cordesman of the
Center for Strategic & International Studies in Washington. He criticized
the way the estimate was derived and noted that the results were released
shortly before the Nov. 7 election.

"This is not analysis, this is politics," Cordesman said.

The work updates an earlier Johns Hopkins study _ that one was released just
before the November 2005 presidential election. At the time, the lead
researcher, Les Roberts of Hopkins, said the timing was deliberate. Many of
the same researchers were involved in the latest estimate.

Speaking of the new study, Burnham said the estimate was much higher than
others because it was derived from a house-to-house survey rather than
approaches that depend on body counts or media reports.

A private group called Iraqi Body Count, for example, says it has recorded
about 44,000 to 49,000 civilian Iraqi deaths. But it notes that those totals
are based on media reports, which it says probably overlook "many if not
most civilian casualties."

For Burnham's study, researchers gathered data from a sample of 1,849 Iraqi
households with a total of 12,801 residents from late May to early July.
That sample was used to extrapolate the total figure. The estimate deals
with deaths up to July.

The survey participants attributed about 31 percent of violent deaths to
coalition forces.

Accurate death tolls have been difficult to obtain ever since the Iraq
conflict began in March 2003. When top Iraqi political officials cite death
numbers, they often refuse to say where the numbers came from.

The Health Ministry, which tallies civilian deaths, relies on reports from
government hospitals and morgues. The Interior Ministry compiles its figures
from police stations, while the Defense Ministry reports deaths only among
army soldiers and insurgents killed in combat.

The United Nations keeps its own count, based largely on reports from the
Baghdad morgue and the Health Ministry.

The major funder of the new study was the Massachusetts Institute of
October 11th, 2006  
Well, that WOULD explain the smell.

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