AIDS May Become No. 3 Cause of Death

sandy

Active member
Nov. 28, 2006 -- By 2030, AIDS may be the world's third leading cause of death.
That's according to World Health Organization (WHO) experts, including Colin Mathers, PhD.
WHO predicts the world's top 10 causes of death in 2030 will be:
  1. Heart diseaseHeart disease
  2. Stroke
  3. HIV/AIDSHIV/AIDS
  4. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)
  5. Lower respiratory infections
  6. Lung cancerLung cancer and cancer of the trachea (windpipe)
  7. DiabetesDiabetes
  8. Road traffic accidents
  9. Perinatal conditions (deaths around the time of birth)
  10. Stomach cancerStomach cancer
The researchers also say the worlds' most common diseases in 2030 will be HIV/AIDS, depressiondepression, and heart disease.
Their report appears in Public Library of Science Medicine.
Predicted Trends
In the future, tobacco will likely be a bigger killer than HIV/AIDS, the researchers say.
"Tobacco is projected to kill 50% more people in 2015 than HIV/AIDS, and to be responsible for 10% of deaths globally," Mather's team writes.
The researchers also predict that from 2002 to 2030:
  • Global life expectancy will rise.
  • Women in Japan will have the greatest life expectancy: more than 88 years.
  • Kids' odds of dying by age 5 will drop by nearly half.
Certain infectious diseases (such as tuberculosis), malnutrition, and maternal and perinatal conditions will likely fall, according to the projections.
Mather's team also tweaked the forecasts based on countries' incomes.
They expect malaria and diarrheadiarrhea to be among the leading causes of death in 2030 in low-income countries, but not high-income ones.
The researchers predict colon cancer, prostate cancerprostate cancer, and Alzheimer's diseaseAlzheimer's disease will make the list of top causes of death in high-income countries, but not in low-income ones in 2030.
Study's Limits
Of course, no one can know the future, and the researchers admit their predictions may miss the mark.
For instance, they say HIV/AIDS might become the No. 4 cause of death -- not No. 3 -- if anti-HIV drugs become more widely available and if HIV prevention efforts succeed.
Also, economic development may affect death trends, note Mathers and colleagues.
For example, if cars become more common in low-income countries, traffic deaths may rise there.
A breakthrough disease treatment could also change the cause-of-death rankings.
Setting Policy
In an editorial, the journal's editors say the WHO report should "help set the agenda for policy and establish the priorities for research."
"But will it?" the editors ask. "Sadly, it is all too clear that the greatest needs are generally not those that receive the greatest attention."
The editorialists also note that "things could be much worse… [or] much better" than the projections.
http://www.webmd.com/content/article/130/117649.htm
Oh,I didn't know Fall of man is so close.
It's no time for war against human.
Anyway
How can youngs of these days are so ignorance on HIV?
 
We arent ignorant of HIV/AIDs...THEY(because I am sexually inactive)just choose to ignore the fact that human intercourse is designed to suceed. Meaning it is designed to produce babies, which means it is designed to PASS DISEASE.
 
It's a crazy world we live in, this makes it that you must always be cautious, think things through, and never over-indulge....

Plus we all know how futile it is to predict the future especially 20 years from now...I mean yes we should make note of this and follow the above statement but to dwell on it like it is the end of the world will not solve anything... The human species has been around for millions of years and survived a lot of pandemics, epidemics, natural disasters, war, and just about everything that has been thrown at us thus far. I have faith that we will be able to overcome this like everything else and the strong and wise shall survive.

It really is how life works....

"If you can look into the seeds of time, and say which grain will grow and which will not, speak then unto me. " ~William Shakespeare
 
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