Originally Posted by hamidreza
1- What is the different between west politics before these events and after that? For example compare Obama speech in Cairo University about the Mobark regime and his speech after Egypt revolution.
2- Do the western countries and especially the US, who show themselves as the guiding of freedom and democracy in the world (!!!), have the same policies with the different dictatorships in the region after these events?
3- Which country will increase his influence and which one will lose it in the ME in future?
Politics is dirty business. It's about power. But also about defending interests which can be a disadvantage for other people/countries. Take oil for instance. The ME is full of it and many countries are dependent on it. If the oil producing countries of the ME decide to block all oil exports it's war. People all over the world will force their governments to take action.
But politics is also a balancing act. Again interests come into play. Everyone is watching the Arab spring and looking for ways to keep doing business but one good turn deserves another.
About which country will increase his influence and which one will lose it in the ME in future? It depends. Influece on people or government? Do not forget that new leaders will be informed by the secret services of that country and will hear a lot of new things that they didn't know about. China and Russia are for the moment not very well liked in the ME but once their financial support arrives that can quickly change.
Democracy in Islam is impossible. Islam in a democracy is possible. It's called cultural Islam. Rule of law is neutral, for all people. Holidays are islamic ones. Just as christianity in a democracy is called Cultural Christianity. Christian holidays. But when religious laws are put into the rule of law democracy is finished. Religion can be a splendid thing if it is used for personal benefits. Once you force it upon other people it's terror.