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Originally Posted by VDKMS The Strait of Hormuz is not just a strait, it is a lifeline for economies throughout the world. So even the slightest attempt to block it wil evolve in a destructive retaliation. I'm not going to try to explain how that conflict will evolve but what I do know is that Iranian Air Force, airfields and air defences will be destroyed in days. As will be their missile batteries and , en passant, their nuclear sites. There will be surprises. American ships will be hit as will oil installations. Some American planes will be shot down. But when Iranian ships and submarines (if they survive) come back to port for reloading and refeuling they will only find destruction. And no, there will be no American infantry in Iran besides some special forces on special assignments. A conflict about the Strait of Hormuz is a conflict against time. It will be quickly over. |
I have to agree with you. In the short term, the strait 'may' be partially blocked by Iran, however, as you said, when the ships etc return to port for replenishing, they will only find complete devastation. During America's Civil War, Sherman mounted a scorched earth policy that would appear as a walk in the park compared to what would be the response to any attempt to block the strait by Iran. The sea highway that extends through the strait supplies way too much commerce to way too many countries for Iran to get away with a blockade of the strait. The forces that attack Iran afterwards, would be so great that Iran would have to claw their way back from the stone age. There wouldn't be even one single city of any size remaining after two or three days of allied bombing, rocket and missile attacks and shelling from off-shore.
Blockading the strait will only result in the complete and utter destruction of Iran.