With the growing popularity of Muqtada Al'sadr and such, it's easy to buy into this post.... a nuclear deadlock? That's interesting..... we wouldn't want to provoke them, and they wouldn't want to provoke us, PLUS: they want to abolish the west and replace it with Islam. Right? But they would also have to be careful the ways they attacked, as you mentioned they are tech. inferior to the west. Launching large scale attacks would seem near impossible with the current air and artillery power today. True you show that 200 million stat, but really, human flesh can only push so far. But of course, can't ignore the intergrated militia cells in europe. Though I think they would be hard pressed to equip themselves well.... if much.
also, I'd believe this more if it mentioned the red star asians becoming involved, not necessarily on their side, nor ours. Much like the axis in WWII, merely allies for neutrality and to serve eachothers gains.
Very neat read, but it doesn't seem tragicly realistic. Though I do believe Islamic extremist are a threat. But covering a scale to put the WWII russian front to shame? I can't buy it, really....